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Daily NFL Pick: Green Bay Packers +6 (-110) vs Arizona Cardinals

NFL Week 8 gets started with one of the most highly anticipated games of the entire season. The Arizona Cardinals will host the Green Bay Packers for Thursday Night Football, and Green Bay has the value.

Game statistics and lines: Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals, Thu 10/28 >>

Win Probability: Green Bay Packers – 28%, Arizona Cardinals – 72%

Davante Adams is likely out for the Packers, but oddsmakers have overcompensated. Green Bay is actually 6-0 the last six times they’ve played without Adams. No matter how good a receiver is, they’re likely never going to be worth that much to a spread. The Cardinals might be undefeated, but they’ve caught a lot of breaks lately.

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Take a look at the last three quarterbacks they’ve faced. Davis Mills, an injured Baker Mayfield, and Trey Lance making his first career start on the road. It’s a big step up from that group to Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers is going to have success no matter who he’s throwing to, and he’ll have to deal with even less pressure in his face in this game as JJ Watt is ruled out for Arizona.

The Cardinals are also giving up 5.0 yards per rush attempt this season, the second-worst mark in the league, so Aaron Jones should have a big night.

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