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Daily NCAAF Pick: UNLV +20.5 (-110) vs Nevada

Getting more than 20 points here with UNLV is too good to pass up. Nevada was humbled in their last game with an outright loss, and their defense isn’t good enough to warrant a spread this large.

The Rebels have also shown a consistent ability to keep games relatively close against superior competition. When they went on the road to play a ranked Fresno State team, they lost by only eight and led for much of the game. That’s the same Fresno State team that Nevada just lost to. 

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When UNLV played a 5-2 Utah State team two weeks ago, they lost by only four. In fact, each of the Rebels’ last four defeats has come by just a single possession. Don’t just look at their 0-7 record and immediately decide you need to fade them.

Running back Charles Williams has been tearing it up recently, and he rushed for 221 yards against Utah State. If he’s able to have just a little bit of success tonight, UNLV will be able to keep the clock churning and limit the possessions enough to keep this one within the number.

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