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NFL Week 8 Sharp Action Report

Let’s look at where the professional bettors have their money in week 8.

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1:00 PM ET New York Jets (+11) vs. Cincinatti Bengals

The New York Jets (1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS) will host the Cincinatti Bengals (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) at Metlife Stadium. The Jets are coming off a blowout loss to the New England Patriots in Foxboro while the Bengals just blew out the Baltimore Ravens on the road.

The Jets will be without Zach Wilson this week, with Mike White getting the nod at quarterback. Despite that, though, the Jets are receiving a handsome amount of sharp action in this one as massive home underdogs. The Green and White are receiving just 12% of the bets, but are getting 46% of the money. That’s a huge discrepancy, especially when you consider the line recently moved from +11.5 to +11.

Public perception in this one is that the Bengals just destroyed the Ravens, thus shouldn’t have a lot of trouble with the Jets and their backup QB. Sharps aren’t so sure of the drop-off from Zach Wilson to Mike White as being so large as perceived, and are thus backing the Jets.

1:00 PM ET Houston Texans (+15.5) vs. Los Angeles Rams

The Houston Texans (1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS) will host the Los Angeles Rams (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) as 15.5 point home underdogs. While nearly 71% of the bets are on the Rams, this line has jumped down from +16.5 and +16 this week. The money % isn’t that much of a difference, however, with the Rams getting 66%.

But the line movement in this one gives us insight into pro bettors backing another massive home underdog. The Texans were a popular underdog pick against the Arizona Cardinals last week and did not cover, while the Rams squeaked out a win at home against the Detroit Lions.

The Rams are also a bit of a different team on the road, and covering 15.5 in anyone else’s stadium is a tall task. This is another ‘swallow your pride’ bet that the sharps are making this week, much like with the Jets, in backing a massive home underdog.

1:00 PM ET Chicago Bears vs. San Francisco 49ers (-4)

The San Francisco 49ers (2-4 SU, 1-5 SU) will travel to Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS). The Bears are coming off a blowout loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, while the 49ers lost on Sunday Night Football to the Colts in a sloppy and rainy environment.

This week, though, sharps are holding the line on 49ers -4. The 49ers have touched -3.5 nearly seven times, and every time have immediately been bet back to -4. It’s not too often that you see sharp action on a road favorite of more than a field goal. But sharps aren’t sold on the 49ers being as bad as they looked on Sunday Night.

The Bears looked listless in their loss to the Bucs. Sharps are betting on more of the same from the Bears this week.

4:05 PM ET Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) @ Seattle Seahawks

This one is another pros vs. joes special. The Jaguars (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS) will travel to Seattle to face Geno Smith and the Seahawks (2-5 SU, 4-3 ATS).

While the Jaguars are getting just 37% of the total bets, the money % is evenly split. Sharps are liking the way Trevor Lawrence has played the last few weeks. The Jaguars are coming off of their emotional first win of the season in London. They are also off a bye week. The Seahawks are off a short week and a loss at home to the New Orleans Saints. While they did cover the spread in that game, they did not look good.

This line has been bet down at +4 to +3.5 multiple times. Despite the public all over the Seahawks, big bettors and sharps are signaling to take the Jags at +3.5.

8:20 PM ET Minnesotta Vikings (-3) vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Sunday Night Football matchup is receiving lots of sharp action this week. The Vikings (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) will host the Dallas Cowboys (5-1 SU, 6-0 ATS). To nobody’s surprise, the Cowboys are receiving 67% of the bets in this one. Meanwhile, the Vikings are receiving 68% of the money, a huge discrepancy.

Both of these teams are off a bye, but Dak Prescott still is not 100%. Also, the Vikings could easily be 5-1 after close losses to the Cardinals and Bengals in weeks 1 and 2. Two teams now perceived as two of the better teams in the NFL.

The Cowboys were also on the ropes against the New England Patriots in Foxborough in Week 6 but pulled out a win late. Despite all that public action on the Cowboys, the Vikings have been bet down from -2 to -3. At -3, the implication is both of these teams are equal, which I’m not so sure I agree with. But if you can find -2 or -2.5 it’ll be the best number you can find.

Other Lines Getting Sharp Action:

IND (-3) vs. TEN

NE (+4) @ LAC

WAS (+3.5) @ DEN

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